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Bulk of power trading will come from long-term contracts

Venugopal Pillai ,  Friday, August 19, 2011, 16:42 Hrs  [IST]

Tantra Narayan Thakur.jpg— Tantra Narayan Thakur, CMD, PTC India Ltd

PTC India (formerly Power Trading Corporation Ltd) represents India's maiden effort in power trading. PTC is not only helping create a vibrant power market in India, but is now turning as an overall energy service provider, by promoting activities like power exchanges, power financing, clean energy, etc. Tantra Narayan Thakur, in an exclusive interaction with Electrical Monitor, takes us through the illustrious journey of PTC India and explains how and why power trading will become a significant activity in the coming years. An interview by Venugopal Pillai.

PTC India represents India's pioneering endeavour in power trading. Please summarize the current status of power trading as a subject, and also take us through PTC India's growth in recent years.
Yes, PTC has pioneered the development and implementation of power trading in India and over the years has successfully demonstrated its efficacy in optimally utilizing the existing power infrastructure in the country.

Around 4 per cent to 5 per cent of total electricity generated in the country is currently being traded in India in the short term. With the implementation of National Electricity Policy, this segment may grow up to 10-15 per cent in the next 4-5 years.

PTC's trading volume has grown at around 25-30 per cent per annum during the past few years. Trading volume of PTC for the financial year 2010-11 was 24,481 million kwh as compared to 18,236 million kwh during 2009-10, higher by 34 per cent.

As we understand, PTC India has entered into firm power purchase agreements for 14,185 mw of power capacity as of December 2010. Where do you see this number growing to by December 2011 (say)?
The PPAs (power purchase agreements) signed by the company as on March 31, 2011 are 14,804 mw, which excludes cross border trade. In addition, we have also signed cumulative MoUs for 12,356 mw. Active discussions are being held with the developers for converting these MOUs into PPAs.

PTC has signed PPA with power projects which are expected to be commissioned during the year and subsequent years. About 2,100 mw of these projects have already started yielding benefits for the company, these include projects like Lanco Amarkantak-Phase I (300 mw), Torrent SUGEN (100 mw), Baglihar HEP (225 mw), amongst others. I am sure we would be able to maintain a growth rate of 25-30 per cent annually.

Untitled - 17.jpgPTC India promoted India Energy Exchange, which is India's first power trading exchange. What has been IEX's performance in recent months, and what is your view on the competition arising from the entry of newer energy exchange players?
PTC India through its subsidiary PTC India Financial Services is a promoter of Indian Energy Exchange (IEX). Though initially there were doubts about the performance of power exchange in India, but IEX has had a good growth and participation in the market since its inception in June, 2008.

Power exchanges provide a common platform to both buyers and sellers and have largely helped in reducing the demand supply gap across regions in India. India currently has two active power exchanges namely Indian Energy Exchange and Power Exchange of India Limited (PXIL). IEX has been consistently enjoying a market share of more than 80 per cent and PXIL having the remaining 20 per cent or so.

Trading volume on power exchanges and number of players are increasing day by day. About 27 states and 990+ participants (912 clients + 79 members) are participating on IEX.

Be it any sector or domain, it is always better to have competition than having a monopoly. Similarly, competition amongst the power exchanges has been good and in favor of the consumers (buyer or seller), which eventually is the motive behind creating such platforms. Competition between IEX and PXIL has kept the pressure on both to perform and educate the majority of the consumers of such platforms. Competition amongst the exchanges would eventually push them to create new and innovative products for their clients, thereby creating a better market platform.

Merchant power plants, as we understand, would be the biggest growth drivers for PTC India as their power generation is "free" and not bound by PPAs. What is your view on the growth in the Indian merchant power plant industry?
PTC focuses on the long term market through facilitation of power projects being set up by Independent Power Producers (IPPs) with whom it enters into long term PPAs and sells the electricity being generated in the plant to various utilities through long term back-to-back PSAs. Some capacities out of those for which PTC signs long term PPAs is kept for short term trading

Yes, it is correct that merchant power plants are going to be one of the drivers in the growth of the power markets and shall also contribute to PTC's growth. Some of the early movers have reaped benefits and are in the process of adding new merchant capacities. Many of the IPPs in recent times have also been earmarking a part of their capacity (say 20-30 per cent) to be traded in the merchant market. With commissioning of these IPPs this additional merchant power is expected to lead to further growth of the power market.

However, the growth of PTC would not only depend on the merchant power but also the long term portfolio that PTC has developed over the years. Obviously, there are risks associated with the merchant capacities.

Untitled - 18.jpgTell us about PTC India's cross-border electricity trading, and what prospects do you see given that India is pursuing several projects in hydropower-rich neighbouring countries like Nepal, Bhutan and Bangladesh?
PTC has signed long term agreements with Department of Energy, Bhutan for purchase of surplus power to the tune of 1,416 mw. Around 5,569 million kwh of energy was imported in 2010-11 from Chukha, Kurichhu and Tala hydropower projects. The sale of power through PTC is a significant source of revenue income for Bhutan. Nepal wants to import thermal power from India on long term basis and PTC has initialed a PPA for 150 mw with Nepal Electricity Authority.

From time to time, we have also been selling power to Nepal in shortage condition on short term basis. We are in dialogue with the other neighbouring countries as well.

What positive impact do you see Power Grid Corporation of India's National Grid having on large-scale power transmission in the country, and how do you see PTC India benefiting from it?
Growth of power market in India has been closely linked with the growth of the transmission inter-connections between various electricity regions. Over the years, power transfer capacity of the inter-regional grids has significantly improved leading to formation of a national grid.

It is expected that by the end of XI Plan Period (2007-12), the national grid capacity would be enhanced to more than 37,000 mw. Power transfers from surplus to deficit regions due to seasonal and daily variations are possible only when there is adequate transmission capacity enabling such transfers.

The strong national grid would help in growth of power market in general. PTC being one of the key market players would also be benefited from growth of such transmission interconnections and a strong national grid.

Untitled - 19.jpgElectricity trading volumes in India are currently highly incommensurate with power generation. What will be the key determinants for this metric (power traded as percentage of power generated) to improve in the coming years?
Trading of electricity is inherently volatile particularly because it is demand sensitive depending on weather conditions and also supply conditions. Further, the demand tends to be highly price elastic. It may be possible to reduce volatility of trading by carrying out more accurate projections about the load and generation, especially depending on weather forecast and seasonal aspects.

In a few years' time, 70-80 per cent of the traded electricity through PTC would be going to be through long term contracts (25 years or more). However, the balance 20-30 per cent capacities are kept aside by us for use in the short term market depending on location and tariff. Lenders and investors are feeling more comfortable with this approach. The risk in short term trading is mitigated through the long term contracts. Thus more power will be available for market or for trading and also will possibly ensure upside for investments.

As said earlier, around 4 per cent to 5 per cent of total electricity generated in the country is currently being traded in India in the short term. With the implementation of National Electricity Policy, this segment may grow up to around 10 per cent in the next 4-5 years.

By trading in power, PTC India also endeavours to correct the imbalances in the electricity demand-supply situation in the country. Please elaborate on this aspect and the degree of success that PTC India has achieved in this pursuit.
Since its inception, PTC has taken upon itself the challenge of creating awareness and acceptability to the concept of trading in power. To begin with, the states producing or having surplus power, after ascertaining states having shortage of power, were vigorously persuaded by PTC India and to sell their surplus power through PTC to deficit states at a mutually agreed competitive tariff. This resulted in a win-win situation for both. PTC successfully managed the marketing and credit risks as an intermediary. This strategy turned out to be extremely successful and added a new chapter to the history of power sector in India by starting a process of setting right demandsupply mismatch. It may not be out of place here and would not be an exaggeration to say that the provisions relating to trading and power market in the Electricity Act are largely because of PTC's success in trading and establishing power market.

This strategy has led to optimal utilization of existing assets to a large extent, at times without additional or limited investment.

Untitled - 2.jpgIn a very general sense, do you see that the "caps" prescribed on energy trading by CERC adversely affecting PTC India's financial returns? Please also share your general views on the electricity pricing mechanism in the country.
CERC had introduced trading margin cap in the year 2004-05 as 4 paise/kwh and this cap remained in force for many years. Trading margin cap has uniformly impacted the market players as far as profitability is concerned.

CERC while maintaining trading cap of 4 paise/kwh for electricity prices upto `3 per kwh, revised it upward to 7 paise/kwh for electricity price above `3 per kwh for the short term market. Trading margin cap revision is a positive step which we welcome. However, we have always maintained that trading margin should not be a fixed number but interplay of demand-supply and a "variable" depending on perceived risks and expected returns associated with different nature of transactions.

Market is a great leveler and will not allow intermediaries to charge undue margins in a competitive situation, which is getting intense with every passing day.

We learn that PTC India intends to diversify into a complete energy solutions provider, through its subsidiary PTC Energy Ltd. Please tell us more.
PTC Energy Ltd (PEL), wholly owned subsidiary of PTC India Ltd, has been set up to undertake various activities related to power and other sources of energy. The company has plan to enter into the business of power generation, distribution, transmission, import of coal, power tolling arrangements whereby, the company shall procure coal for various power plants and pay an energy conversion charge to the IPPs. The power generated from such plants shall be owned by the company and sold to PTC for trading. PEL has started its operations and we do hope that in the years to come it will be coming to PTC's expectation.

PEL will be taking up various advisory assignments ranging from study for marketing of power to preparing DPRs of power projects, undertaking technical and commercial evaluation for distribution reforms/ franchisee business etc.

During 2010-11, PTC Energy Ltd executed 280,492 tonnes of spot sale/purchase of coal.

Untitled - 21.jpgWhat has been the current performance of PTC India Financial Services and how do you gauge this subsidiary's prospects, more so given its successful IPO recently? Please tell us specifically about the equity investment by PFS in renewable energy projects.
Pursuant to receipt of the status of "Infrastructure Finance Company" (IFC) by the Reserve Bank of India in August, 2010, the company has successfully raised `42 crore though issuance of Long Term Infrastructure Bond with benefits of Section-80 CCF of Income Tax Act, 1961.

PFS has signed an agreement for external commercial borrowing (ECB) of $25 million from International Finance Corporation on April 28, 2011. PFS has already signed agreement for ECB of $26 million from DEG. PFS intends to sign another ECB agreement with $25 million with IFC.

PFS has already raised its capital though issuance of new share through IPO which was completed in March 2011. This would help the company to increase its exposure limit in debt financing to power projects as PFS can now take exposure in debt financing up to `250 crore.

During 2010-11, PFS made disbursement of `801 crore as compared to `246 crore in 2009-10, higher by 225 per cent. PFS also has equity outstanding for FY11 at `459 crore as compared to `370 crore in FY10, higher by 23.89 per cent.

PFS is very bullish on the renewable space. PFS has made equity investment in biomass and wind energy farms. The biomass project is commissioned and feeding green energy to grid. Presently, investment of PFS in renewable space constitutes 12-13 per cent.

Going forward, solar (thermal and photovoltaic) along with wind will be a key growth driver for PFS in this space.

Untitled - 20.jpgHaving started off as a power trader, PTC India has come a long way in terms of its primary business and diversification into several areas. What is your vision for PTC India in the years to come, in terms of exploring new business areas?
Yes, power trading and development of power market in India has been pioneered by PTC. Our efforts have been to continuously innovate, understand the customer's needs and design our products/ services around the same. This has given us good business results and we will aim to continue to do so.

We are also aggressively pursuing renewable energy and energy efficiency projects into our fold of business, both by promoting such projects as well as marketing of renewable energy. These projects though small will become increasingly lucrative in the years to come.
 
                 
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