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Transformer industry looks good; will grow at 15-20 per cent

Venugopal Pillai ,  Saturday, August 20, 2011, 12:22 Hrs  [IST]

Anil Aggarwal.jpg— Anil Aggarwal, CMD, PME Power Solutions (India) Ltd

PME Power Solutions (India) is a leading manufacturer of distribution transformers with a capacity of 3,600 MVA that is being ramped up to 7,000 MVA. PME has a clear focus on the overseas market, with around 75 per cent of its revenues coming from South African markets. Electrical Monitor caught up with Anil Aggarwal during his recent visit to Mumbai. In a freewheeling conversation with Venugopal Pillai and Dhairya Ingle, Aggarwal spoke at length on a broad spectrum of subjects related to his company and to the power T&D industry in general. Excerpts.

India is in amidst of adding a lot of power generation capacity and that every MW of generation will need 7 MVA of transformer capacity. How do you see the demand of transformers?
Yes, according to the XII Five Year Plan, we will create 100,000 mw, which means one will need 8-9 lakh MVA transformation capacity. Besides this, the transformers installed in the VII Five Year Plan will have to be reinstalled or replaced because by the time we are in the XII Plan, the old transformers would have outlived their capacity. Hence, we shall have 1.5 million MVA transformers to be replaced or installed. Our current (national) capacity is around 205,000 MVA, out of which 33 per cent is for the overseas market. Effectively you are left with 165-170,000 MVA. Hence I see a growth opportunity of 20 per cent. The transformer industry looks good and will grow at the rate of 15-20 per cent.

With China now entering the Indian market, do you face competition from the Chinese markets?
China is trying to enter the market, but as of now, has not created a dent in the industry. The reason for this is their highly "specification-driven" transformers. In India, making transformers is a tailor-made exercise. Every customer has his own specifications even if he is buying a small transformer. This has been the biggest barrier for foreign players.

Is the country moving ahead in terms of having own standard specifications of transformers which could help able to achieve better economies of scale for transformer manufacturers?
Here I would say that rural electrification is playing the role of a catalyst, since it has joined hands with Central Electricity Authority in order to improve the quality of transformers. It has already come up with star labeling policy which is mandatory for the transformers up to 200kV.

Untitled - 23.jpgWe see transmission infrastructure moving up from 220kV to 400kV and now we even have 765kV. What impact do you see this having on the efficiency or power transmission?
India is a big country. If one has to supply power to every nook and corner of the country, we need to have a National Grid, which is exactly the role of Power Grid Corporation of India. In case, we need to contain the losses we have no option but to obviously go for a higher capacity. This is exactly what is happening. In the 1950s, we had capacity of only up to 33kV, which went to up to 400kV. Hence with modernization and technology, you will also see 1,200kV coming very soon on the Indian grid.

Tell us about your capex plans.
We are enhancing our distribution transformer capacity from 3,600 MVA to 7,000 MVA at our Noida plant. This a Rs.jpg85-crore project to be funded internally. The project started in December 2010 and is likely to get commissioned by December this year. We have also planned to start manufacturing high-rating transformers of 400kV next year.

What has been your domestic-international business mix?
Around 75 per cent of our revenues come from the overseas markets, mainly South Africa. We will this 75:25 business mix continuing for at least three more years. International markets are receptive to PME products are they have wide acceptance too. The domestic market is flooded by number of players thus has a lot of competition.

Due to our focus on the international business, our total turnover has jumped from Rs.jpg203 crore in 2003 to Rs.jpg434 crore this year. We find the South African market more challenging as compared to any other market. Also that South Africa has a rich source of mineral resources.

Tell us about PME's South African connection.
Let me begin with a background. PME Power Solutions was started in 1986 with an objective of manufacturing distribution transformers. In 1990, we went in for power transformers up to 33kV. Towards the end of the 1990s, we began manufacturing bigger power transformers up to 66kV. In 2003, we entered the 132kV range.

Untitled - 25.jpgThe biggest development in our corporate history, which marked a turnaround for PME, was an overseas deal with South Africa. Although we were exporting transformers since 1994, our international business was small. In January 2006, we entered into a five-year technology transfer agreement with a Zimbabwe power utility that wanted to manufacture transformers in Harare. The five-year agreement was renewed last year for an equal period ahead. This took us closer to the South African markets. Once we were in Zimbabwe, we started looking at neighbouring nations that form what is known as the "SADEC" (South African Development Community) region, comprising Zambia, Namibia, Angola, etc. Once we had our transformer business in place, we entered in the T&D business, mainly building substations in South African nations.

Do you find a change in terms of procurement of terms and policies from the electricity boards?
Now the number of clients (distribution utilities) has increased. Initially it was one state utility, now it could be four or even five in a state. There is no change in procurement policies; it is the same as earlier.

Do you see ATC losses going down after the unbundling of state electricity boards?
Losses have gone down but not to a great extent. However, the overall achievements are far better than before. Further, accountability has increased due to trifurcation. But the real game lies when the entire (distribution) sector is controlled by the private sector.

How do you see the government's success rate in privatizing distribution circles?
It is a very slow process; it cannot happen overnight even if the government wants it to do. They have come out with Energy Conservation Act, New Indian Electricity Act, so the sector needs to be a little more open. A lot of IPPs (independent power producers) have come up. If you see the XII Plan, 50 per cent of the power comes from private sector. So it is not that people are not taking interest. A lot of private entities have gone in for private trading also. So this is a slow process.

Do you think political will has anything to do with the rate of privatization of power distribution?
Let us not define it as political will. We must realize that power is the most capital intensive area. Secondly, we do not have a system where decisions are taken by a single person. Let us consider the power ministry-there are bureaucrats, there is Planning Commission then there are states, which in fact have to go for reforms. Each state has different political set up. So in situations like these delays are bound to happen. We have an old adage in business, "You can assign two jobs to one person but never one job to two persons!" So it is not something like will is not there. We have very intelligent people but when it comes to decision making and delivery, the system is so lengthy and also conservative.

As I said, we must appreciate that the power sector is the most capital intensive area. If you talk of electrifying India by 2025 you need 8 lakh mw of power capacity. Imagine the amount of money required in the next 14 years!

Do you think going forward the concerns of fuel would get stronger?
All the natural resources are scarce. You don't have land. If you cater the manufacturing sector for exports, we do not have roads, no ports, and no electricity. A lot of work has still to be done.

Coming back to your business, you had plans to make dry-type transformers.
Yes, we had plans and also the technology. However we haven't done much in this area because our technology is extremely different. We are not going into normal dry encapsulated transformers. What we are doing is vacuum impregnation technology with classic PM&F insulation, which is not very popular in India. People still go for epoxy. And, our major market Kenya does not face problem of space.

But we hear of Kenya planning to use dry type transformers to prevent vandalism of oil-filled transformers.
Yes, they had thought about it but did not go for it. Even we believed that oil transformers for Kenya was now a story of past! However, matters are back to oil-filled transformers.

Untitled - 24.jpgWhat is your take on cheap CRGO entering India, allegedly from Chinese suppliers?
Let us first understand that inferior quality CRGO is not coming from China. And speaking about CRGO, we (India) has never faced a shortage. The reason we keep hearing about CRGO shortage is because it is not produced in India. Select companies in UK, USA, France and Japan are the major manufacturers.

We hear that PME was to diversify into energy-efficient lighting systems.
It is still at the planning stage. Nothing concrete has been done yet. We are undertaking R&D projects in this field.

Do you have plans to emerge as a developer in the generation or transmission area?
No, we do not have any plans to venture into power development. As on date, we are happy with the way we are moving. Our area of growth is transmission and distribution sector where we would like to continue.

We hear of skilled manpower constraints in the power sector.
Being in this industry for last 33 years, I have never come across such constraints. Of course, I do not disagree that there is a shortage of manpower, but you need to create people. We have had people at PME working for several years. This has helped us and the company to grow.

What do you attribute your company's phenomenal growth to?
The credit goes to all my workers and staff who have put in untiring efforts. The average age of employment in my company is more than 15 years. We do not believe in hiring and firing. We have nurtured people and haven't penalized them for their mistakes. On the contrary, we have trained them to suit the company's needs. Currently, I think we are the best one of the best pay masters in the industry!

What corporate goals would you like to attain?
A company that gives a complete value for money, complete satisfaction, employee growth and become a self-sustaining company, in next 3-4 years. We also aim to create wealth for our investors.
 
                 
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